research-package RP-2026-07-30-NHE-FAILURES

Non-Human Experimental Failure-Mode Taxonomy

Non-Human Experimental Failure-Mode Taxonomy

Frequency is the number of distinct affected experimental activities, not the number of documents that mention the issue.

ID Failure mode Affected Frequency Severity Detectability Likely cause / confidence Existing mitigation / evidence Next test
NFM-001 Researcher circularity: same party designs task, probes, labels, and grader EX-E002–004 3 High Medium Workflow concentration / high Independent-review protocol; not executed Two blinded independent reviews plus unseen cases
NFM-002 Gold/probe co-location creates contamination EX-E002, EX-E003 2 High High Convenience of local fixtures / high EX-E007 exporter Adversarial content- and path-level leakage audit
NFM-003 Literal semantic checks reject valid paraphrases EX-E002, EX-E003, EX-E004 3 High Medium Deterministic substring rules / high One alternative per pilot; human adjudication proposed Blinded diverse paraphrase mutations
NFM-004 Known-case calibration overstates external validity EX-E004 1 High High to reviewers In-sample optimization / high Scope warnings Frozen grader on unseen agent and mutation outputs
NFM-005 Missing immutable run metadata EX-E004, EX-E007 2 Medium High Runner/results schema not built / high Versioned sources, narrative results Persist run JSON, environment, commit, hashes, timestamps
NFM-006 Narrow leakage detector misses semantic/content leaks EX-E007 1 High Low without adversarial audit Filename heuristic / high Physical file selection Seed disguised gold strings, symlinks, metadata, and content matches
NFM-007 No stochastic/capability observations EX-E005 1 blocked program Critical for capability claims High Review and infrastructure prerequisites / high Claims explicitly withheld Contained repeated baseline after task review
NFM-008 Taxonomy mapping lacks item-level provenance EX-E001 1 Medium Medium Design summary, no extraction dataset / medium Commit and narrative preserved Re-run inventory with inclusion log if taxonomy is used quantitatively
NFM-009 Negative tests proposed but left unexecuted EX-E005, EX-E006; prose-only false-accept 3 Medium High Correct stop boundary plus missing external evidence / high Explicit negative-result records Prioritize only decision-changing blocked tests
NFM-010 Reporting-status ambiguity EX-E001–003, EX-E007 4 Medium Medium “Complete,” “valid,” and “blind” used at different levels / high Scope warnings Add controlled vocabulary for design/preflight/validated/replicated

Negative and null-result synthesis

  • No independent reviewer was available.
  • No agent baseline ran.
  • No human agreement, cost, token, latency, retry, or intervention measurement exists.
  • The prose-only false-accept prediction was not tested.
  • No grader-generalization or transfer test exists.
  • No result is a scientific null: the missing experiments cannot be interpreted as no effect.

Negative reporting is unusually visible relative to the small corpus. However, successful setup/calibration work has richer raw artifacts than abandoned or blocked investigations, so a mild success-documentation bias remains.